Liberty
University BUSI 411 exam 1 solutions answers right
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many versions: 5 different versions
Question 1 Which of the following is not
true about the systems approach?
Question 2 The process of comparing outputs
to previously established standards to determine if corrective action is needed
is called:
Question 3 A "product package"
consists of:
Question 4 Marketing depends on operations
for information regarding:
Question 5 Which of the following is not a
characteristic of service operations?
Question 6 Which of the following is not a
key factor of competitiveness?
Question 7 Suppose a country's productivity
last year was 84. If this country's productivity growth rate of 5 percent is to
be maintained, this means that this year's productivity will have to be:
Question 8 Value added can be calculated
by:
Question 9 An organization's mission
statement serves as the basis for:
Question 10 Which of the following is not
among the chief reasons organizations fail?
Question 11 Which of the following would
tend to decrease forecast accuracy?
Question 12 The owner of Darkest Tans Unlimited
in a local mall is forecasting this month's (October's) demand for the one new
tanning booth based on the following historical data: What is this month's
forecast using exponential smoothing with alpha = .2, if August's forecast was
145?
Question 13 Which of the following
mechanisms for enhancing profitability is most likely to result from improving
shortterm forecast performance?
Question 14 The forecasting method which
uses anonymous questionnaires to achieve a consensus forecast is:
Question 15 A concert promoter is
forecasting this year's attendance for one of his concerts based on the
following historical data: What is this year's forecast using the naive
approach?
Question 16 Which of the following
statements about CAD is not true?
Question 17 Which of the following is least
likely to result in product innovations that have nearterm commercial
application?
Question 18 If the average amount of time a
product goes without failing decreased by some amount, that product's
availability could nevertheless be maintained at previous levels by __________
its __________.
Question 19 A formal way to document
customer requirements is:
Question 20 A system consists of two
components, each of which must activate if the system is to activate. One
component has a reliability of .99. The other has a reliability of .95. The
components are independent of one another with respect to reliability. What is
the overall system reliability?
Question 21 Goodsproducing organizations
are not involved in service activities.
Question 22 A characteristic that was once
an order winner may become an order qualifier, and vice versa.
Question 23 In order to compute seasonal
relatives, the trend of past data must be computed or known, which means that
for brandnew products this approach cannot be used.
Question 24 The process of dismantling and
inspecting a competitor's product to discover product improvement is called
benchmarking.
Question 25 Reliability can be defined in
terms of a particular point in time or in terms of length of service.
1. Operations
managers are responsible for assessing consumer wants and needs and selling and
promoting the organization's goods or services.
2. Often, the collective success or failure of companies' operations functions will impact the ability of a nation to compete with other nations.
3. Companies are either producing goods or delivering services. This means that only one of the two types of operations management strategies are used.
4. Operations, marketing, and finance function independently of each other in most organizations.
5. The greater the degree of customer involvement, the more challenging the design and management of operations.
6. Goods producing organizations are not involved in service activities
7. Service operations require additional inventory because of the unpredictability of consumer demand.
8. The value of outputs is measured by the prices customers are willing to pay for goods or services.
9. The use of models will guarantee the best possible decisions.
10. People who work in the field of operations should have skills that include both knowledge and people skills.
11. Assembly lines achieved productivity but at the expense of standard of living.
12. The operations manager has primary responsibility for making operations system design decisions, such as system capacity and location of facilities.
13. The word "technology" is used only to refer to 'information technology'.
14. ‘Value added' by definition is always a positive number since 'added' implies increases.
15. Service often requires greater labor content, whereas manufacturing is more capital intensive.
16. Measurement of productivity in service is more straightforward than in manufacturing since it is not necessary to take into account the cost of materials.
17. Special-purpose technology is a common way of offering increased customization in manufacturing or services without taking on additional labor costs.
18. One method of classifying production systems is the degree of standardization.
19. Most people encounter operations only in profit-making organizations.
20. Service involves a much higher degree of customer contact than manufacturing.
21. A systems approach emphasizes interrelationships among subsystems, but its main theme is that the whole is greater than the sum of its individual parts.
22. The Pareto phenomenon is one of the most important and pervasive concepts that can be applied at all levels of management.
23. Operations managers, who usually use quantitative approaches, are not really concerned with ethical decision-making.
24. The optimal solutions produced by quantitative techniques should always be evaluated in terms of the larger framework.
25. Managers should most often rely on quantitative techniques for important decisions since quantitative approaches result in more accuratedecisions.
26. Many operations management decisions can be described as tradeoffs.
27. A systems approach means that we concentrate on efficiency within a subsystem and thereby assure overall efficiency.
28. Prior to the Industrial Revolution, goods were produced primarily by craftsmen or their apprentices using custom made parts.
29. Elton Mayo's "Hawthorne Experiment" was the focal point of the Human Relations Movement, which emphasized the importance of the human element in job design.
30. Among Ford's many contributions was the introduction of mass production, using the concept of interchangeable parts and division of labor.
31. Operations management and marketing are the two functional areas that exist to support activities in other functions such as accounting, finance, IT and human resources.
32. Lean production systems incorporate the advantages of both mass production and craft production.
33. As an abstraction of reality, a model is a simplified version of a real phenomenon.
34. Lean production systems use a highly skilled work force and flexible equipment.
35. The lean production philosophy has been slow to be adopted in service industries.
36. Operations Management activities will be less important in the future because many firms are becoming service-oriented operations rather than goods producing operations.
37. A modern firm has two supply chain considerations – external links with suppliers and customers, and an internal network of flows to and between the operations function itself.
38. Operations management involves continuous decision-making; hopefully most decisions made will be:
A. redundant
B. minor in nature
C. informed
D. quantitative
E. none of the above
2. Often, the collective success or failure of companies' operations functions will impact the ability of a nation to compete with other nations.
3. Companies are either producing goods or delivering services. This means that only one of the two types of operations management strategies are used.
4. Operations, marketing, and finance function independently of each other in most organizations.
5. The greater the degree of customer involvement, the more challenging the design and management of operations.
6. Goods producing organizations are not involved in service activities
7. Service operations require additional inventory because of the unpredictability of consumer demand.
8. The value of outputs is measured by the prices customers are willing to pay for goods or services.
9. The use of models will guarantee the best possible decisions.
10. People who work in the field of operations should have skills that include both knowledge and people skills.
11. Assembly lines achieved productivity but at the expense of standard of living.
12. The operations manager has primary responsibility for making operations system design decisions, such as system capacity and location of facilities.
13. The word "technology" is used only to refer to 'information technology'.
14. ‘Value added' by definition is always a positive number since 'added' implies increases.
15. Service often requires greater labor content, whereas manufacturing is more capital intensive.
16. Measurement of productivity in service is more straightforward than in manufacturing since it is not necessary to take into account the cost of materials.
17. Special-purpose technology is a common way of offering increased customization in manufacturing or services without taking on additional labor costs.
18. One method of classifying production systems is the degree of standardization.
19. Most people encounter operations only in profit-making organizations.
20. Service involves a much higher degree of customer contact than manufacturing.
21. A systems approach emphasizes interrelationships among subsystems, but its main theme is that the whole is greater than the sum of its individual parts.
22. The Pareto phenomenon is one of the most important and pervasive concepts that can be applied at all levels of management.
23. Operations managers, who usually use quantitative approaches, are not really concerned with ethical decision-making.
24. The optimal solutions produced by quantitative techniques should always be evaluated in terms of the larger framework.
25. Managers should most often rely on quantitative techniques for important decisions since quantitative approaches result in more accuratedecisions.
26. Many operations management decisions can be described as tradeoffs.
27. A systems approach means that we concentrate on efficiency within a subsystem and thereby assure overall efficiency.
28. Prior to the Industrial Revolution, goods were produced primarily by craftsmen or their apprentices using custom made parts.
29. Elton Mayo's "Hawthorne Experiment" was the focal point of the Human Relations Movement, which emphasized the importance of the human element in job design.
30. Among Ford's many contributions was the introduction of mass production, using the concept of interchangeable parts and division of labor.
31. Operations management and marketing are the two functional areas that exist to support activities in other functions such as accounting, finance, IT and human resources.
32. Lean production systems incorporate the advantages of both mass production and craft production.
33. As an abstraction of reality, a model is a simplified version of a real phenomenon.
34. Lean production systems use a highly skilled work force and flexible equipment.
35. The lean production philosophy has been slow to be adopted in service industries.
36. Operations Management activities will be less important in the future because many firms are becoming service-oriented operations rather than goods producing operations.
37. A modern firm has two supply chain considerations – external links with suppliers and customers, and an internal network of flows to and between the operations function itself.
38. Operations management involves continuous decision-making; hopefully most decisions made will be:
A. redundant
B. minor in nature
C. informed
D. quantitative
E. none of the above
39. A 'product
package' consists of:
A. the exterior wrapping
B. the shipping container
C. a combination of goods and services
D. goods if a manufacturing organization
E. customer relations if a service organization
A. the exterior wrapping
B. the shipping container
C. a combination of goods and services
D. goods if a manufacturing organization
E. customer relations if a service organization
40. Business
organizations consist of three major functions which, ideally:
A. support one another
B. are mutually exclusive
C. exist independently of each other
D. function independently of each other
E. do not interface with each other
A. support one another
B. are mutually exclusive
C. exist independently of each other
D. function independently of each other
E. do not interface with each other
41. Which of the
following is not a type of operations?
A. goods production
B. storage/transportation
C. entertainment
D. communication
E. all the above involve operations
A. goods production
B. storage/transportation
C. entertainment
D. communication
E. all the above involve operations
42. Technology
choices seldom affect:
A. costs.
B. productivity.
C. union activity.
D. quality.
E. flexibility.
A. costs.
B. productivity.
C. union activity.
D. quality.
E. flexibility.
43. Measurements
taken at various points in the transformation process for control purposes are
called:
A. plans
B. directions
C. controls
D. feedback
E. budgets
A. plans
B. directions
C. controls
D. feedback
E. budgets
44. Budgeting,
analysis of investment proposals, and provision of funds are activities
associated with the _______ function.
A. operation
B. marketing
C. purchasing
D. finance
E. internal audit
A. operation
B. marketing
C. purchasing
D. finance
E. internal audit
45. Which one of
the following would not generally be classified under the heading of
transformation?
A. assembling
B. teaching
C. staffing
D. farming
E. consulting
A. assembling
B. teaching
C. staffing
D. farming
E. consulting
46. Manufacturing
work sent to other countries is called:
A. downsized
B. outsourced
C. internationalization
D. vertical integration
E. entrepreneurial ship
A. downsized
B. outsourced
C. internationalization
D. vertical integration
E. entrepreneurial ship
47. Product design
and process selection are examples of decisions that are:
A. financial
B. tactical
C. system design
D. system operation
E. forecasting
A. financial
B. tactical
C. system design
D. system operation
E. forecasting
48. The
responsibilities of the operations manager are:
A. planning, organizing, staffing, procuring, and reviewing
B. planning, organizing, staffing, directing, and controlling
C. forecasting, designing, planning, organizing, and controlling
D. forecasting, designing, operating, procuring, and reviewing
E. designing and operating
A. planning, organizing, staffing, procuring, and reviewing
B. planning, organizing, staffing, directing, and controlling
C. forecasting, designing, planning, organizing, and controlling
D. forecasting, designing, operating, procuring, and reviewing
E. designing and operating
49. Knowledge
skills usually don't include:
A. process knowledge
B. accounting skills
C. communication skills
D. global knowledge
E. all of the above
A. process knowledge
B. accounting skills
C. communication skills
D. global knowledge
E. all of the above
50. Which of the
following is not true about systems approach?
A. A systems viewpoint is almost always beneficial in decision making.
B. A systems approach emphasizes interrelationships among subsystems.
C. A systems approach concentrates on efficiency within subsystems.
D. A systems approach is essential whenever something is being redesigned or improved.
E. All of the above are true.
A. A systems viewpoint is almost always beneficial in decision making.
B. A systems approach emphasizes interrelationships among subsystems.
C. A systems approach concentrates on efficiency within subsystems.
D. A systems approach is essential whenever something is being redesigned or improved.
E. All of the above are true.
51. What is
credited with gains in industrial productivity, increased standards of living
and affordable products?
A. personal computers
B. the internet
C. mass transportation
D. assembly lines
E. multi-level marketing
A. personal computers
B. the internet
C. mass transportation
D. assembly lines
E. multi-level marketing
52. Production
systems with customized outputs typically have relatively:
A. high volumes of output
B. low unit costs
C. high amount of specialized equipment
D. fast work movement
E. skilled workers
A. high volumes of output
B. low unit costs
C. high amount of specialized equipment
D. fast work movement
E. skilled workers
53. Which is not a
significant difference between manufacturing and service operations?
A. cost per unit
B. uniformity of output
C. labor content of jobs
D. customer contact
E. measurement of productivity
A. cost per unit
B. uniformity of output
C. labor content of jobs
D. customer contact
E. measurement of productivity
54. Which of the
following is not a characteristic of service operations?
A. intangible output
B. high customer contact
C. high labor content
D. easy measurement of productivity
E. low uniformity of output
A. intangible output
B. high customer contact
C. high labor content
D. easy measurement of productivity
E. low uniformity of output
55. Which of the
following is a recent trend in business?
A. pollution control
B. total quality management
C. supply chain management
D. competition from foreign manufacturers
E. technological change
A. pollution control
B. total quality management
C. supply chain management
D. competition from foreign manufacturers
E. technological change
56. Farming is an
example of:
A. an obsolete activity
B. a virtual organization
C. non-manufactured goods
D. a growth industry
E. customized manufacturing
A. an obsolete activity
B. a virtual organization
C. non-manufactured goods
D. a growth industry
E. customized manufacturing
57. Dealing with
the fact that certain aspects of any management situation are more important
than others is called:
A. analysis of tradeoffs
B. sensitivity analysis
C. recognition of priorities
D. analysis of variance
E. decision table analysis
A. analysis of tradeoffs
B. sensitivity analysis
C. recognition of priorities
D. analysis of variance
E. decision table analysis
58. The fact that
a few improvements in a few key areas of operations will have more impact than
many improvements in many other areas is consistent with the:
A. Irwin phenomenon
B. Pareto phenomenon
C. Stevenson phenomenon
D. Tellier phenomenon
E. Adam Smith phenomenon
A. Irwin phenomenon
B. Pareto phenomenon
C. Stevenson phenomenon
D. Tellier phenomenon
E. Adam Smith phenomenon
59. The process of
comparing outputs to previously established standards to determine if
corrective action is needed is called:
A. planning
B. directing
C. controlling
D. budgeting
E. disciplining
A. planning
B. directing
C. controlling
D. budgeting
E. disciplining
60. Which of the
following does not relate to system design?
A. altering the system capacity
B. location of facilities
C. inventory management
D. selection and acquisition of equipment
E. physical arrangement of departments
A. altering the system capacity
B. location of facilities
C. inventory management
D. selection and acquisition of equipment
E. physical arrangement of departments
61. Taking a
systems viewpoint with regard to operations in today's environment increasingly
leads decision-makers to consider ______________ in response to the
____________.
A. flexibility; pressure to be more efficient
B. offshoring; need to promote domestic production
C. sustainability; threat of global warming
D. technology; impact of random variation
E. forecasting; stabilization of demand
A. flexibility; pressure to be more efficient
B. offshoring; need to promote domestic production
C. sustainability; threat of global warming
D. technology; impact of random variation
E. forecasting; stabilization of demand
62. Some companies
attempt to maximize the revenue they receive from fixed operating capacity by
influencing demands through price manipulation. This is an example of
_________________:
A. Illegal price discrimination
B. Collusion
C. Volume analysis
D. Revenue management
E. Outsourcing
A. Illegal price discrimination
B. Collusion
C. Volume analysis
D. Revenue management
E. Outsourcing
63. Which of the
following is not an ongoing trend in manufacturing?
A. globalization
B. quality improvement
C. flexibility and agility
D. mass production for greater economies of scale
E. technological advances
A. globalization
B. quality improvement
C. flexibility and agility
D. mass production for greater economies of scale
E. technological advances
64. Which of the
following is not a benefit of using models in decision making?
A. They provide a standardized format for analyzing a problem.
B. They serve as a consistent tool for evaluation.
C. They are easy to use and less expensive than dealing with the actual situation.
D. All of the above are benefits.
E. None of the above is a benefit.
A. They provide a standardized format for analyzing a problem.
B. They serve as a consistent tool for evaluation.
C. They are easy to use and less expensive than dealing with the actual situation.
D. All of the above are benefits.
E. None of the above is a benefit.
65. Modern firms
increasingly rely on other firms to supply goods and services instead of doing
these tasks themselves. This increased level of _____________ is leading to
increased emphasis on ____________ management.
A. outsourcing; supply chain
B. offshoring; lean
C. downsizing; total quality
D. optimizing; inventory
E. internationalization; intercultural
A. outsourcing; supply chain
B. offshoring; lean
C. downsizing; total quality
D. optimizing; inventory
E. internationalization; intercultural
An example of a strategic operations management decision is the
choice of where to locate
An example of an operational operations management decision is
inventory level management
Government statistics are a good source of data about productivity
trends in the service sector
An example of a tactical operations management decision is
determining employment levels
Productivity is defined as the ratio of output to input
Productivity is defined as the ratio of input to output.
Competitiveness relates to the profitability of an organization in
the marketplace
If people would only work harder, productivity would increase
Tracking productivity measures over time enables managers to judge
organizational performance and decide where improvements are needed
Productivity is directly related to the ability of an organization
to compete
A characteristic that was once an order winner may become an order
qualifier, and vice versa
Outsourcing tends to improve quality but at the cost of lowered
productivity
Productivity tends to be only a very minor factor in an
organization's ability to compete.
An organization that is twice as productive as its competitor will
be twice as profitable
National productivity is determined by averaging the productivity
measures of various companies or industries
Wage and salary increases that are not accompanied by productivity
increases tend to exert inflationary pressures on a nation's economy
Global competition really only applies to multinational
organizations
A business that is rated highly by its customers for service
quality will tend to be more profitable than a business that is rated poorly
Services often don't fit simple yield measurements
A mission statement should provide a guide for the formulation of
strategies for the organization
The hierarchy and sequence of planning and decision making is:
mission, organizational strategy, tactics, and operational decisions
Strategy includes both organizational and functional strategies
Organizational strategy should be determined without considering
the realities of functional area strengths and weaknesses since they can be
changed to meet our strategy
Mission statements should be as specific as possible regarding
exactly how they will be accomplished
Improving efficiency will guarantee a similar improvement in
productivity
As long as we match a competitor on quality and price we will gain
market share
Environmental scanning is a search for events or trends that
present either threats or opportunities to the organization
Standardization has the advantage of reducing variability
Traditional strategies of business organizations have tended to
emphasize cost minimization or product differentiation
The majority of our textbook deals with tactical operations that
support established functional strategies
Which of the following is least likely to affect the cost an
organization incurs in producing its products or services
Where a firm locates would typically not affect that firm's
Which of the following is not among the chief reasons
organizations fail
The key to successfully competing is understanding what customers
want and then __________ satisfy those wants
An organization's mission statement serves as the basis for
Which of the following would be least important in the pursuit of
a time-based strategy
Competitiveness doesn't include:
Product design and choice of location are examples of _______
decisions
Scheduling personnel is an example of an operations management
Productivity is expressed as:
In the 1970s and early 1980s in the United States, organizations
concentrated on:
Which of the following is not a factor that affects
productivity?
Which of these factors would be least likely to affect
productivity?
Which of the following is not a key step toward improving
productivity?
For an organization to grow its market share, it must:
The ratio of good output to quantity of raw material input is
called
The fundamental purpose for the existence of any organization is
described by its:
A productivity increase in one operation that does not improve
overall productivity of the business is not
Value added can be calculated by:
Which of the following is true?
Core competencies in organizations generally do not relate
to:
With regard to operations strategy, organization strategy should,
ideally, take into account:
Which of the following is not typically considered a cure for poor
competitiveness?
Time-based approaches of business organizations focus on reducing
the time to accomplish certain necessary activities. Time reductions seldom
apply to:
The external elements of SWOT analysis are:
In an assembly operation at a furniture factory, six employees
assembled an average of 450 standard dining chairs per five-day week. What is
the labor productivity of this operation?
Which of the following is not a reason for poor performance of our
organization in the marketplace?
The manager of a carpet store is trying to determine the best
installation crew size. He has tried various crew sizes with the results shown
below. Based on productivity, what crew size do you recommend?
Which of the following is not a key factor of
competitiveness?
Gourmet Pretzels bakes soft pretzels on an assembly line. It
currently bakes 800 pretzels each eight-hour shift. If the production is
increased to 1,200 pretzels each shift, then productivity will have increased
by:
The weekly output of a fabrication process is shown below,
together with data for labor and material inputs. Standard selling price is
$125 per unit. Overhead is charged weekly at the rate of $1,500 plus .5 times
direct labor cost. Assume a 40-hour week and an hourly wage of $16. Material
cost is $10 per foot. What is the average multifactor productivity?
The Balanced Scorecard is a useful tool for helping managers
translate their strategy into action in the following areas:
A firm pursuing a strategy based on customization and variety will
tend to structure and manage its supply chain to accommodate more _____________
than a firm pursuing a strategy based on low cost and high volume
Unique attributes of firms that give them a competitive edge are
called:
Years ago in the overnight delivery business, providing package
tracking capability gave some firms a competitive advantage. Now, all firms
must offer this capability simply to be in this line of business. This is an
example of ______________ becoming ____________ over time.
For firms competing in worldwide markets, conducting
__________________ is more complex, since what works in one country or region
might not work in another.
Increasing the service offered to the customer makes it more
difficult to compete on the basis of:
___________ is generally used to facilitate an organization
strategy that emphasizes low cost
Which of the following factors would tend to reduce
productivity?
Suppose a country's productivity last year was 84. If this
country's productivity growth rate of 5 percent is to be maintained, this means
that this year's productivity will have to be
Forecasting
techniques generally assume an existing causal system that will continue to
exist in the future
For
new products in a strong growth mode, a low alpha will minimize forecast errors
when using exponential smoothing techniques
Once
accepted by managers, forecasts should be held firm regardless of new input
since many plans have been made using the original forecast
Forecasts
for groups of items tend to be less accurate than forecasts for individual
items because forecasts for individual items don't include as many influencing
factors
Forecasts
help managers both to plan the system itself and to provide valuable
information for using the system
Organizations
that are capable of responding quickly to changing requirements can use a
shorter forecast horizon and therefore benefit from more accurate forecasts
When
new products or services are introduced, focus forecasting models are an
attractive option
The
purpose of the forecast should be established first so that the level of
detail, amount of resources, and accuracy level can be understood
Forecasts
based on time-series (historical) data are referred to as associative forecasts
Time-series
techniques involve the identification of explanatory variables that can be used
to predict future demand
A
consumer survey is an easy and sure way to obtain accurate input from future
customers since most people enjoy participating in surveys
The
Delphi approach involves the use of a series of questionnaires to achieve a
consensus forecast
Exponential
smoothing adds a percentage (called alpha) of the last period's forecast to
estimate the next period's demand
The
shorter the forecast period, the more accurately the forecasts tend to track
what actually happens
Forecasting
techniques that are based on time-series data assume that future values of the
series will duplicate past values
Trend-adjusted
exponential smoothing uses double smoothing to add twice the forecast error to
last period's actual demand
Forecasts
based on an average tend to exhibit less variability than the original data
The
naive approach to forecasting requires a linear trend line
The
naive forecast is limited in its application to series that reflect no trend or
seasonality
The
naive forecast can serve as a quick and easy standard of comparison against
which to judge the cost and accuracy of other techniques
A
moving average forecast tends to be more responsive to changes in the data
series when more data points are included in the average
In
order to update a moving average forecast, the values of each data point in the
average must be known
Forecasts
of future demand are used by operations people to plan capacity
An
advantage of a weighted moving average is that recent actual results can be
given more importance than what occurred a while ago
Exponential
smoothing is a form of weighted averaging
A
smoothing constant of .1 will cause an exponential smoothing forecast to react
more quickly to a sudden change than a smoothing constant value of .3
The
T in the model TAF = S + T represents the time dimension (which is usually expressed
in weeks or months).
Trend-adjusted
exponential smoothing requires selection of two smoothing constants
An
advantage of trend-adjusted exponential smoothing over the linear trend
equation is its ability to adjust over time to changes in the trend
A seasonal
relative (or seasonal indexes) is expressed as a percentage of average or trend
In
order to compute seasonal relatives, the trend of past data must be computed or
known, which means that for brand-new products this approach cannot be used
Removing
the seasonal component from a data series (deseasonalizing) can be accomplished
by dividing each data point by its appropriate seasonal relative
If
a pattern appears when a dependent variable is plotted against time, one should
use time series analysis instead of regression analysis
Curvilinear
and multiple regression procedures permit us to extend associative models to
relationships that are nonlinear or involve more than one predictor variable
The
sample standard deviation of forecast error is equal to the square root of MSE
Correlation
measures the strength and direction of a relationship between variables
MAD
is equal to the square root of MSE, which is why we calculate the easier MSE
and then calculate the more difficult MAD
In
exponential smoothing, an alpha of 1.0 will generate the same forecast that a
naive forecast would yield
A
forecast method is generally deemed to perform adequately when the errors
exhibit an identifiable pattern
A
control chart involves setting action limits for cumulative forecast error
A
tracking signal focuses on the ratio of cumulative forecast error to the
corresponding value of MAD.
The
use of a control chart assumes that errors are normally distributed about a
mean of zero
Bias
exists when forecasts tend to be greater or less than the actual values of time
series.
Bias
is measured by the cumulative sum of forecast errors
Seasonal
relatives can be used to deseasonalize data or incorporate seasonality in a
forecast
The
best forecast is not necessarily the most accurate
Which
of the following is a potential shortcoming of using sales force opinions in
demand forecasting?
Suppose
a four-period weighted average is being used to forecast demand. Weights for
the periods are as follows: wt-4 = 0.1, wt-3 = 0.2, wt-2
= 0.3 and wt-1 = 0.4. Demand observed in the previous four periods
was as follows: At-4 = 380, At-3 = 410, At-2 =
390, At-1 = 400. What will be the demand forecast for period t
Suppose
a three-period weighted average is being used to forecast demand. Weights for
the periods are as follows: wt-3 = 0.2, wt-2 = 0.3 and wt-1
= 0.5. Demand observed in the previous three periods was as follows: At-3
= 2,200, At-2 = 1,950, At-1 = 2,050. What will be the
demand forecast for period t?
When
choosing a forecasting technique, a critical trade-off that must be considered
is that between
The
more novel a new product or service design is, the more forecasters have to
rely on
Forecasts
based on judgment and opinion do not include
Which
of the following is/are a primary input into capacity, sales, and production
planning
Which
of the following features would not generally be considered common to all
forecasts
Which
of the following is not a step in the forecasting process
Minimizing
the sum of the squared deviations around the line is called
The
two general approaches to forecasting are
Which
of the following is not a type of judgmental forecasting?
Accuracy
in forecasting can be measured by
Which
of the following would be an advantage of using a sales force composite to
develop a demand forecast?
Which
phrase most closely describes the Delphi technique
The
forecasting method which uses anonymous questionnaires to achieve a consensus
forecast is
One
reason for using the Delphi method in forecasting is to:
Detecting
nonrandomness in errors can be done using:
Gradual,
long-term movement in time series data is called
The
primary difference between seasonality and cycles is
Averaging
techniques are useful for:
Putting forecast errors into perspective is best done using
Putting forecast errors into perspective is best done using
Using
the latest observation in a sequence of data to forecast the next period
is:
For the data given below, what would the naive forecast be for period 5?
For the data given below, what would the naive forecast be for period 5?
Moving
average forecasting techniques do the following:
Which
is not a characteristic of simple moving averages applied to time series data?
In
order to increase the responsiveness of a forecast made using the moving
average technique, the number of data points in the average should be
A
forecast based on the previous forecast plus a percentage of the forecast error
is:
Which
is not a characteristic of exponential smoothing?
Which
of the following smoothing constants would make an exponential smoothing
forecast equivalent to a naive forecast?
Simple
exponential smoothing is being used to forecast demand. The previous forecast
of 66 turned out to be four units less than actual demand. The next forecast is
66.6, implying a smoothing constant, alpha, equal to:
Given
an actual demand of 59, a previous forecast of 64, and an alpha of .3, what
would the forecast for the next period be using simple exponential
smoothing?
Given
an actual demand of 105, a forecasted value of 97, and an alpha of .4, the
simple exponential smoothing forecast for the next period would be:
Which
of the following possible values of alpha would cause exponential smoothing to
respond the most quickly to forecast errors?
A
manager uses the following equation to predict monthly receipts: Yt
= 40,000 + 150t. What is the forecast for July if t = 0 in April of this
year?
In
trend-adjusted exponential smoothing, the trend-adjusted forecast consists of:
In
the additive model for seasonality, seasonality is expressed as a
______________ adjustment to the average; in the multiplicative model,
seasonality is expressed as a __________ adjustment to the average
Which
technique is used in computing seasonal relatives?
A
persistent tendency for forecasts to be greater than or less than the actual
values is called
Which
of the following might be used to indicate the cyclical component of a
forecast?
The
primary method for associative forecasting is:
Which
term most closely relates to associative forecasting techniques?
Which
of the following corresponds to the predictor variable in simple linear
regression?
The
mean absolute deviation is used to:
Given
forecast errors of 4, 8, and -3, what is the mean absolute deviation?
Given
forecast errors of 5, 0, -4, and 3, what is the mean absolute deviation?
Given
forecast errors of 5, 0, -4, and 3, what is the bias?
Which
of the following is used for constructing a control chart?
The
two most important factors in choosing a forecasting technique are
The
degree of management involvement in short-range forecasts is
Which
of the following is not necessarily an element of a good forecast
Forecasting
techniques generally assume
A
managerial approach toward forecasting which seeks to actively influence demand
is
Customer
service levels can be improved by better
Given
the following historical data, what is the simple three-period moving average
forecast for period 6?
Given
the following historical data and weights of .5, .3, and .2, what is the
three-period moving average forecast for period 5?
Use
of simple linear regression analysis assumes that
Given
forecast errors of -5, -10, and +15, the MAD is:
The
president of State University wants to forecast student enrollments for this
academic year based on the following historical data
The
business analyst for Video Sales, Inc. wants to forecast this year's demand for
DVD decoders
What
is the forecast for this year using the least squares trend line for these data
The
business analyst for Video Sales, Inc. wants to forecast this year's demand for
DVD decoders based on the following historical data
Professor
Very Busy needs to allocate time next week to include time for office hours. He
needs to forecast the number of students who will seek appointments. He has
gathered the following data
What
is this week's forecast using trend-adjusted (double) smoothing with alpha = .5
and beta = .1, if the forecast for last week was 65, the forecast for two weeks
ago was 75, and the trend estimate for last week's forecast was -5?
A
concert promoter is forecasting this year's attendance for one of his concerts
based on the following historical data
What
is this year's forecast using the naive approach?
What
is this year's forecast using a two-year weighted moving average with weights
of .7 and .3
What
is this year's forecast using exponential smoothing with alpha = .2, if last
year's smoothed forecast was 15,000?
What
is the forecast for this year using the naive approach?
What
is the forecast for this year using a four-year simple moving average?
What
is the forecast for this year using exponential smoothing with alpha = .5, if
the forecast for two years ago was 16,000?
What
is the forecast for this year using the least squares trend line for these
data?
What is the forecast for this year using trend-adjusted (double) smoothing with alpha = .05 and beta = .3, if the forecast for last year was 21,000, the forecast for two years ago was 19,000, and the trend estimate for last year's forecast was 1,500?
What is the forecast for this year using the naive approach?
What is the forecast for this year using trend-adjusted (double) smoothing with alpha = .05 and beta = .3, if the forecast for last year was 21,000, the forecast for two years ago was 19,000, and the trend estimate for last year's forecast was 1,500?
What is the forecast for this year using the naive approach?
What
is the forecast for this year using a three-year weighted moving average with
weights of .5, .3, and .2?
What is the forecast for this year using exponential smoothing with alpha = .4, if the forecast for two years ago was 750?
What is the forecast for this year using exponential smoothing with alpha = .4, if the forecast for two years ago was 750?
What
is the forecast for this year using trend-adjusted (double) smoothing with
alpha = .3 and beta = .2, if the forecast for last year was 310, the forecast
for two years ago was 430, and the trend estimate for last year's forecast was
-150?
What is this week's forecast using the naive approach?
What is this week's forecast using a three-week simple moving average?
What is this week's forecast using exponential smoothing with alpha = .2, if the forecast for two weeks ago was 90?
What is this week's forecast using the least squares trend line for these data?
What is this week's forecast using the naive approach?
What is this week's forecast using a three-week simple moving average?
What is this week's forecast using exponential smoothing with alpha = .2, if the forecast for two weeks ago was 90?
What is this week's forecast using the least squares trend line for these data?
What
is this year's forecast using the least squares trend line for these
data?
The
previous trend line had predicted 18,500 for two years ago, and 19,700 for last
year. What was the mean absolute deviation for these forecasts?
What is this year's forecast using the naive approach?
What is this year's forecast using the naive approach?
The
dean of a school of business is forecasting total student enrollment for this
year's summer session classes based on the following historical data:
What is this year's forecast using a three-year simple moving average?
What is this year's forecast using a three-year simple moving average?
What
is this year's forecast using exponential smoothing with alpha = .4, if last
year's smoothed forecast was 2,600?
What
is the annual rate of change (slope) of the least squares trend line for these
data?
What
is this year's forecast using the least squares trend line for these
data?
The
owner of Darkest Tans Unlimited in a local mall is forecasting this month's
(October's) demand for the one new tanning booth based on the following
historical data
What
is this month's forecast using the naive approach?
What
is this month's forecast using a four-month weighted moving average with
weights of .4, .3, .2, and .1?
What
is this month's forecast using exponential smoothing with alpha = .2, if
August's forecast was 145?
What
is the monthly rate of change (slope) of the least squares trend line for these
data?
What
is this month's forecast using the least squares trend line for these
data?
Which
of the following mechanisms for enhancing profitability is most likely to
result from improving short-term forecast performance?
Which
of the following changes would tend to shorten the time frame for short-term
forecasting?
Which
of the following helps improve supply chain forecasting performance?
Which
of the following would tend to decrease forecast accuracy?
Which
of the following is the most valuable piece of information the sales force can
bring into forecasting situations?
Global teams provide diversity
while eliminating conflicts and miscommunication
A ‘House of Quality' is achieved
when no department in a single location has more than 15% rejects
Concurrent Engineering is another
term for sequential development
One of the main advantages of
standardization is that it increases the potential variety of products
A disadvantage of standardization
is the possibility of standardizing designs too early, which may make it
difficult to modify in the future
Reducing consumer choices makes
service more efficient
Modular design increases costs of
purchasing and controlling inventory compared to non-modular
Product failures can be easier to
remedy with modular design
One motivation for an organization
to redesign its product or service is to avoid the alternative of downsizing
the organization
A major benefit of Computer Aided
Design (CAD) is the increased productivity of designers
Most of the time what is called
product or service design is actually a redesign of an existing product or
service
A service blueprint is quite
similar to an architectural drawing
The process of dismantling and
inspecting a competitor's product to discover product improvement is called
benchmarking
To save money, it is essential that
designers revise the production capabilities to meet the requirements of the
new products
Many US manufacturers are now
shifting their focus from products to both product and process improvements
Applied research has the objective
of achieving commercial applications for new ideas
Basic research is done with the
expectation that discoveries will have near-term commercial application
"Design for production"
takes into account the capabilities of the organization to produce or deliver a
given product or service
Consumers tend to resist
purchasing products containing recycled materials
"Concurrent engineering"
brings people concerned with manufacturing into the design phase earlier than
in the "over-the-wall" approach
"Concurrent engineering"
means that at least two engineers are involved in product design at the same
time
One approach to extending a
product's life cycle is to promote alternate uses of the product
"Quality Function
Deployment" is a structured approach that guarantees that the highest
quality product or service will be designed
Product liability means that a
manufacturer is liable for any injuries and damages caused by a faulty product
because of poor workmanship or design
The process of dismantling and
inspecting a competitor's product to discover improvement is called reverse
engineering
Research and development (R&D)
refers to organized efforts that are directed toward increasing scientific
knowledge and product (or process) innovation
Standardization refers to the
extent to which there is absence of variety in a product, service, or process
Re-manufacturing refers to
removing some of the components of old products and reusing them in new
products
The demand for a product and the
rate of technological change have significant impact on the length of a given
phase of the product life cycle
Robust design describes a product
that will perform satisfactorily so long as it is used in a very narrow range
of conditions
Taguchi design methods involve
identifying the optimal operating or environmental conditions for a given
product
Quality function deployment (QFD)
is based on a set of standards which relate customer requirements to company
capabilities.
The quality function deployment
(QFD) matrices are often referred to as the "House of Quality" because,
when completed, they "house" all of the customer's quality
requirements
Service design often must take
into account the degree of customer contact required
Reliability refers to the ability
of a product to perform its intended function under normal conditions
Applied research is the major R
& D effort of business organizations because of the desire for commercial
applications
Commonality of components is
beneficial for manufacturing but not for services
Standardization can at times lead
to serious difficulties and competitive struggles, particularly when systems
are running under different conditions
The term failure as applied to
reliability means that a part or item does not function at all
Reliability can be defined in
terms of a particular point in time or in terms of length of service
Reliability can be improved by the
use of backup components
Delayed differentiation and
modular design are tactics for mass customization
Life-cycle assessment involves
incorporating where the product or service is in its life-cycle into
system-design decision-making
The goal of life-cycle assessment
is to incorporate the environmental impact of products or services into
product-design or service-design decision-making
The three Rs – Reduce, Re-use and
Recycle – are more applicable in service design than in product design
The goal of value analysis is to
find ways of _________.
When considering re-use issues for
a given product, an important factor to take into account is that product's
_________.
Incorporating design for
disassembly (DFD) principles in product design helps firms with ___________
design issues.
Designing for recycling helps
facilitate ________.
One way to increase reliability is
to:
Which of the following is not a
reason for redesigning a product or service?
A disadvantage of global teams for product design is that
A disadvantage of global teams for product design is that
The stage in a product or service
life cycle where some firms adopt a defensive research posture is:
One step that isn't part of service blueprinting is:
The research and development activity which starts after positive research results are available and attempts to turn these results into useful commercial applications is:
One step that isn't part of service blueprinting is:
The research and development activity which starts after positive research results are available and attempts to turn these results into useful commercial applications is:
The advantages of standardization
include which of the following?
Products or services with a high
degree of similarity of features and components are called:
"Must have",
"expected" and "excitement" characteristics are categories
in the ____ model.
One possible disadvantage of
modular design is that
In the area of product and service
design, the acronym CAD refers to
Which of the following statements
about CAD is not true?
Which one of the following is not
a factor of successful product and service design?
As part of a strategy for
improving competitiveness, a manager may have to initially sacrifice:
Ideas for new or improved designs
can come from
The process of dismantling and
inspecting a competitor's new or revised product for the purpose of gleaning
design ideas is called
The term ‘degrees of newness' is
associated with:
The term ‘standardization' is closely
associated with:
Service design generally differs
from product design in which of the following ways?
The structural approach for integrating customer requirements into every aspect of product development is known as
The structural approach for integrating customer requirements into every aspect of product development is known as
Which of the following is an issue
that designers must take into account in product and service design?
One of these is not a
characteristic of a well-designed service system:
A formal way to document customer
requirements is
Which of the following is not true
about re-manufacturing?
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